About half of the respondents are closely following the events around Ukraine. The majority of respondents support the actions of the Russian military and believe that the special military operation is progressing successfully. More than half of the respondents support the transition to peaceful negotiations, primarily to stop the loss of life. About a third are in favor of continuing military operations, primarily to “bring the matter to an end” and “finish what was started.” According to the majority, the United States should be present at the negotiating table on ending the conflict, in addition to Russia, and one in two respondents believes that Ukraine should participate in the negotiations. The respondents rate the negotiations between Russia and the United States positively. About a third of the respondents are ready to make concessions for the sake of signing a peace agreement. The most preferred terms of the peace treaty, according to the respondents, are: exchange of prisoners of war, ensuring the rights of Russian-speaking citizens of Ukraine and protecting the status of the Russian Orthodox Church. The respondents consider Ukraine’s accession to NATO and the return of new territories to be unacceptable conditions.

In January 2025, the level of attention to events around Ukraine increased. The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces remains high. The share of respondents who advocate a transition to peaceful negotiations has reached almost two thirds, which is the highest figure for the entire measurement period. Two thirds of the respondents are confident that the participation of mediators in the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will facilitate the achievement of a peace agreement. The respondents see China and the United States primarily as intermediary countries, but also Turkey, Hungary and India. Over the past year, the number of respondents who believe that the military operations in Ukraine will end in the coming year has increased. Three quarters believe that the conflict will end with Russia’s victory.

The general level of attention to the Ukrainian events has not changed, while the Russians called the launch of the Oreshnik rocket the main event of last month. The level of support for military operations remains high. The number of supporters of the idea of peace talks is slowly increasing after a decline in August. More than two thirds of the respondents believe that the special operation is progressing successfully. Compared to last year, the proportion of those who are confident that the difficulties associated with the Special Military Operation are “still ahead” has decreased. More than half of the respondents believe that the conflict in Ukraine could escalate into an armed confrontation with NATO. There is growing confidence among the respondents that the use of nuclear weapons in the current conflict can be justified

Attention to the Ukrainian events has not changed in recent months: about half of the respondents are closely following the events. The level of support for the military actions remains consistently high. The number of supporters of peace talks continues to grow slowly after a decline in August. If respondents had the opportunity to go back to the past, equal shares of respondents would support or prevent the decision to launch the special military operation. If a family member of the respondent had signed a contract to participate in the special military operation, about 40% would have supported such a decision, but the same number would not have supported it. Those who would approve of such a decision motivated it by the need to protect the homeland and civic duty. And those who would not approve said that they were worried about their loved ones and were in favor of peace.

About half of the respondents continue to follow the Ukrainian events quite closely. Support for the actions of the Russian armed forces also remains at a high level. For the first time in six months, the number of supporters of negotiations has increased significantly (up to 58%). Most of the respondents believe that Russia is more interested in negotiations. Two thirds of respondents still hold the United States and NATO responsible for what is happening, and their conviction has grown over the year. Half of the respondents allows the conflict to escalate into a direct clash between Russia and NATO. Russia’s military actions in Ukraine mainly cause Russians to be proud of Russia (48%) or alarm, fear and horror (33%), these feelings have prevailed among respondents since the beginning of the conflict. The majority of respondents are concerned about the shelling of Russian territories by Ukraine, the threat of the use of nuclear weapons and the supply of Western military equipment. One in three admits that Russia’s use of nuclear weapons during the conflict may be justified.

Mass assessments of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict are stable. More than half of the respondents are monitoring the situation quite closely. Most support the actions of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. Half of the respondents believe that it is necessary to move on to peace negotiations (43% are in favor of continuing military operations, their share has been growing in recent months). However, the majority is not ready to make concessions regarding Ukraine and this share is growing. Russians consider the exchange of prisoners of war and a ceasefire to be acceptable conditions for signing a peace agreement, while the return of new regions and Ukraine’s accession to NATO are completely unacceptable. If there was an opportunity to go back in time and cancel or support the start of Special Military Operation, slightly more than a third of the respondents would reverse this decision (their share has decreased slightly in recent months).

Half of Russians continue to monitor the situation around Ukraine more or less closely. The level of support for the Russian Armed Forces remains high, they are supported by three quarters of Russians. After a short decline at the beginning of the year, the share of Russians who advocate peace talks began to recover — now it is almost 50 %. At the same time, if the resident had decided to stop military operations already “this week”, the majority (71%) would have supported his decision. However, this share is reduced to 30% if the return of new territories became a condition for the end of the conflict. Russians are not always able to adequately assess how widespread their own views on the “special operation” are in society.

In March, attention to events in Ukraine increased. The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces remains consistently high. The number of supporters of peace talks has been declining since the end of last year, while the number of supporters of continued hostilities remains virtually unchanged. Supporters of the peace talks explain their position by saying that “there are many victims,” “people are dying,” and “war fatigue has accumulated.” Those who advocate the continuation of hostilities explain their opinion by saying that “it is necessary to go to the end,” “finish what has been started,” “destroy fascism,” “negotiations will lead to nothing.” About half of the respondents do not rule out a second wave of partial mobilization, but their number has decreased over the past year. The majority of respondents support the annexation of Crimea and believe that it has brought Russia more benefits — their number has grown over the past few years.