Ratings of October 2024: sentiments, opinions on the state of affairs in the country, approval of authorities, trust in politicians and parties, presidential electoral ratings

After a decrease in positive assessments of the country’s affairs and the work of the main state institutions at the end of the summer, the indicators increased. At the same time, the mood of the respondents improved. The top ten politicians who enjoy the trust of the respondents have not changed significantly. The rating of United Russia has increased slightly after a decline in previous months, and the rating is gradually recovering after a prolonged decline over the past year. The support of other parliamentary parties has hardly changed. If the presidential election were held next Sunday, the majority of respondents would vote for V. Putin.

Ratings of August 2024: assessments of the state of affairs in the country, the mood of respondents, approval of authorities, trust in politicians and parties

In August 2024, there was a slight decrease in positive assessments of the situation in the country. The proportion of respondents experiencing tension, irritation, and fear has increased, but positive moods still prevail. The approval rates for the activities of the president and governors remained virtually unchanged, while the approval rates for the activities of the Government, the Prime Minister and Parliament continued to decline smoothly. The level of support for United Russia has also decreased, and the share of supporters of other parliamentary parties has hardly changed.

June 2024 ratings: assessments of the state of affairs in the country, approval of institutions, trust in politicians

In June, the assessments of the activities of the main state institutions did not change, the majority approve. The share of positive assessments of the situation in the country is also growing. The most positive sentiments are demonstrated by representatives of the oldest age group, more affluent citizens, Muscovites and TV viewers. The level of trust in V. Putin, M. Mishustin, A. Belousov is growing, Sergey Lavrov and Sergei Shoigu are decreasing.

Conflict with Ukraine: attention, support, attitude to various terms of a peace agreement in September 2024

In recent months, attention to the situation in Ukraine has been growing. The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces remains high. The share of supporters of the negotiations dropped in August, however their number increased in September. If the president had decided to end the military conflict today, the majority of Russians would have supported his decision, but only a third of the respondents would have returned the annexed territories. Half of the respondents believe that the special operation has caused more harm, justifying it with loss of life, military losses, and large expenditures on the Special Military Operation. Less than a third believes that the special operation has brought more benefits, meaning the return of territories, the protection of the Russian-speaking population of Donbass and the strengthening of Russia’s international position. Two thirds of the respondents believe that the special operation is successful, but this number has been decreasing throughout the year. Most Russians are against making concessions to Ukraine. The respondents call the exchange of prisoners of war and an immediate ceasefire the preferred terms of the peace treaty, the majority oppose the return of new territories and Ukraine’s accession to NATO.

Mass assessments of the past presidential elections

The majority of respondents are satisfied with the results of the elections, expect changes for the better in this regard and believe that the elections were held fairly; these figures are higher compared to the results of polls after the previous elections. The opinion about the elections strongly depends on the attitude of respondents to the government: positive assessments prevail among those who support the president, and negative ones among oppositional citizens. 75% of the respondents took part in the voting, of which the majority voted for the incumbent president. Among Vladimir Putin’s supporters, two—thirds decided on the choice long before the voting day, among supporters of other candidates, more than half were determined during the campaign. Most of the respondents voted on Friday, the absolute majority at the polling station. The main motives for voting were a “sense of duty”, a desire to support their candidate and the habit of going to the polls, the main motives for non—participation were employment and disbelief that participation could change something. According to the sociological services, about a third of the respondents followed the ratings of candidates.

The election of the President of the Russian Federation. Data from the survey February 21-28

At the end of February, 90% of Russians knew about the upcoming presidential elections, while about a third of the respondents did not follow the course of the election campaign. Three quarters of Russians were going to take part in the presidential elections. Those who were going to vote were guided by a sense of duty and a desire to support their candidate. The majority of respondents were planning to vote for Vladimir Putin. Also, the majority of respondents had a positive attitude to the three-day and remote voting procedures, citing convenience. However, this was largely determined by the respondent’s general attitude towards the government.

The 2024 presidential election in public opinion

Half of the respondents know about the upcoming presidential elections next year. About two thirds of the respondents expressed their willingness to vote. If the presidential elections had been held next Sunday, Vladimir Putin would have received the majority of votes. Similar indicators of support for the current president were observed after 2014 and in the mid-2000s. Most Russians would like to see Vladimir Putin as president after 2024, their share has increased sharply last year. Two thirds of Russians believe that the upcoming elections will be fair. This is more than in previous measurements.

Institutional Trust: September 2023

Since the previous survey last year, trust in most public institutions has grown slightly. However, the changes in most positions are insignificant. The greatest increase in institutional trust was observed last year as a result of the general consolidation of public opinion against the background of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The president, the army, the state security agencies, the government and the church enjoy the greatest confidence, as they did last year. Big business, trade unions and political parties are the least trusted, but trust in these institutions is reaching its maximum values today since the beginning of measurements.

Attitude to Vladimir Putin

Most respondents describe their attitude to V. Putin as a positive-neutral. Two-thirds of respondents would like to re-elect the current head of state in 2024. Supporters of his re-election explain this by the fact that V.Putin “has the right policy,” “a good leader,” “for the people,” “there is no alternative to him.” Opponents of re-election say that he “has been in office for a long time,” “I don’t like his policies,” “changes are needed.” According to the respondents V. Putin expresses the interests of the “siloviki”, as well as “ordinary people”, “oligarchs” and the “middle class”

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