In January 2025, the level of attention to events around Ukraine increased. The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces remains high. The share of respondents who advocate a transition to peaceful negotiations has reached almost two thirds, which is the highest figure for the entire measurement period. Two thirds of the respondents are confident that the participation of mediators in the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will facilitate the achievement of a peace agreement. The respondents see China and the United States primarily as intermediary countries, but also Turkey, Hungary and India. Over the past year, the number of respondents who believe that the military operations in Ukraine will end in the coming year has increased. Three quarters believe that the conflict will end with Russia’s victory.

In January 2025, the level of attention to events around Ukraine increased to 55% (by 10 percentage points: combined responses “very carefully” and “quite carefully”). Another third of the respondents follow without much attention, and 13% of respondents do not follow them at all.

Men (60%), older respondents (71% of those aged 55 and over), villagers (59%), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (60%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (57%), those who trust television as a source of information (64%), those who support the actions of Russian armed forces in Ukraine (62%), those who believe that military actions should be continued now (73%) follow the events around Ukraine most closely.

Women (51%), young people under 24 (35%), residents of Moscow (46%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (44%), those who disapprove of the current president (57%), those who Those who trust YouTube channels and social networks as a source of information (49% each), those who do not support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (34%), those who believe that peace negotiations should now proceed (48%).

The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces remains quite high – 78% (43% definitely support and 35% rather support). 15% of respondents say that they do not support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (6% – definitely not, 9% – probably not).

The level of support for the actions of the Russian armed forces is higher among men (83%), older respondents (86% of those aged 55 and older), more affluent respondents (82% among those who can afford to buy durable goods), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (90%), those who approve of V. Putin’s performance as president (85%), and those who trust television as a source of information (87%).

The level of support for the actions of the RF Armed Forces is lower among women (75%), young people under 24 (65%), less well-off respondents (71% among those who barely have enough to eat), those who think that things in the country are going the wrong way (46%), those who disapprove of V. Putin’s activity as president (35%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (69%).

In January 2025, the maximum percentage of respondents who believe that peace negotiations should begin now was 61%, while 31% of respondents spoke about the need to continue military operations (the lowest figures for the entire observation period).

Women (61%), respondents under 39 years old (63%), those living in cities with a population of up to 100 thousand people and those living in rural areas (59% each), those who believe that the direction of affairs in the country is wrong (80%), those who do not approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (76%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (62%), those who do not support the actions of Russian armed forces in Ukraine (89%) say that peace talks should start now.

Men (45%), older respondents (42% among those 55 and older), more affluent respondents (39% among those who can afford durable goods), Moscow residents (65%) are more likely to believe that military action should be continued now, those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (44%), those who approve of the activities of the current president (39%), those who trust television as a source of information (41%), those who support the actions of Russian armed forces in Ukraine (38%).

Since November 2023, the share of respondents who believe that the participation of intermediaries in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will facilitate the achievement of a peace agreement has increased to 67% (an increase of 23 percentage points). Only 13% of respondents say otherwise, and another 20% of respondents found it difficult to answer. 23% of respondents name China as intermediaries in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, 20% – the United States. Another 8% mentioned Turkey, 6% Hungary and India. 28% of the respondents could not name a single country (I find it difficult to answer – 21%, no country – 7%).

Over the past year, the share of those who believe that the military operations in Ukraine will end in the next year or earlier has increased, 43% of respondents now think so. Every third respondent (32%) says that the conflict will last more than a year.

More often men (48%), those who think that the conflict in Ukraine will end in the next year or earlier, those who think that things in the country are going in the right direction (49%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (45%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (61%).

Muscovites (41%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (45%), and those who disapprove of the current president’s activities (45%) are more likely to believe that hostilities will last more than a year.

The majority of Russians believe that the military actions in Ukraine will end with Russia’s victory – 76%. Another 15% of respondents think that neither side will be able to gain the upper hand. Less than 1% of respondents speak about Ukraine’s victory today.

More often than others, older respondents (81% of respondents aged 55 and older), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (84%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (81%), those who trust television as a source of information (86%), those who support the actions of Russian armed forces in Ukraine (86%), and those who believe that military actions should be continued (92%) say that the military operations in Ukraine will end with Russia’s victory.

Women (25%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (32%), those who approve of the current president’s activities (42%), and those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information are the most likely to believe that neither side can prevail. (35%), those who do not support the actions of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine (42%), those who believe that peace negotiations should begin now (21%).