Press-releases

Expectations for 2025: hopes, assessments of personal situation as well as economic and political situation in the country

The majority of respondents believe that the coming year 2025 will be better than the previous year. Three respondents out of four look forward to the new year with hope – slightly more than last year, while this is the highest figure in 12 years. About two thirds of the respondents believe that next year will be stressful for the political and economic life of the country, but for them it will be rather calm. Similar estimates were observed last December. In general, young people, more affluent respondents, and those who are loyal to government policies have more positive expectations for the coming year. On the contrary, older respondents, less well-off respondents, as well as opposition-minded citizens demonstrate more negative views about the coming 2025.

The majority of respondents (71%) hope that the coming year 2025 will be better compared to 2024: 13% – certainly better, 58% – really hope that it will be better. Another 13% think that it will not be worse, 9% – it is unlikely that anything will change, and 3% – that the new year will be worse than the outgoing one.

The most frequent respondents who believe that the new year will be better are young people under 24 (84%), more affluent respondents (76% among those who can afford durable goods), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (75%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (73%), those who trust Telegram channels as a source of information (77%).

The share of Russians who look forward to the coming year with hope has increased to 76%. This is the highest figure for 12 years of observations, but compared to last year, the increase was only 1 percentage point. 15% of the respondents look at the coming year with anxiety, 6% with uncertainty.

The share of those who look forward to the coming year with hope is higher among young people under 24 (86%), better-off respondents (83% among those who can afford durable goods), Moscow residents (87%), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (82%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (80%), those who trust television as a source of information (81%).

The proportion of those who look forward to the coming year with anxiety is higher among older respondents (20% among those aged 55 and over), less well-off respondents (24% among those who barely have enough to eat), rural residents (19%), and those who believe that things are going well in the country. the wrong way (26%), those who disapprove of the activities of the current president (29%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (24%).

Over the past two years, the number of respondents who believe that the coming year will be peaceful for them and their families has been growing – up to 65% (an increase of 10 percentage points since December 2022). At the same time, the share of respondents who believe that the new year will be stressful for them and their families is decreasing to 28% (a decrease of 12 percentage points since December 2022).

The opinion that the coming year will be calm is more often shared by: young people under 24 (79%), more affluent respondents (76% among those who can afford durable goods), Moscow residents (69%), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (71%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (68%), those who trust Telegram channels as a source of information (71%).

The opinion that the coming year will be stressful is more often shared by older respondents (36% among respondents 55 years and older), less affluent respondents (41% among those who barely have enough to eat), residents of cities with a population of more than 500 thousand people (31%), those who believe that that things in the country are going the wrong way (41%), those who disapprove of the activities of the current president (45%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (44%).

Almost two thirds of the respondents think that the coming year will be stressful for the Russian economy. Compared to last year, the number of respondents with this opinion increased slightly (by 3 percentage points). 29% of respondents believe that the new year will be calm for the country’s economy (a slight decrease of 3 percentage points).

Older respondents (64% of respondents aged 55 and older), respondents who barely have enough money for clothes (65%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (77%), those who disapproves of the activities of the current president (83%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (75%).

Young people under 24 (44%), more affluent respondents (35% among those who can afford durable goods), those who believe that the country is going in the right direction (36%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (32%), those who trust social networks as a source of information (37%) think that the coming year will be calm for the country’s economy.

More than half of the respondents (59%) believe that the coming year will be stressful for Russia’s political life, and 29% of respondents believe that it will be calm.

Women (63%), respondents aged 40-54 (63%), respondents who barely have enough money for clothes (61%), those who believe that things in the country are going the wrong way (74%) share the opinion that the coming year will be stressful for the country’s political life. those who disapprove of the current president’s activities (71%), those who trust YouTube channels as a source of information (72%).

The opinion that next year will be calm for the political life of Russia is shared more often by men (34%), young people under 24 (44%), more affluent respondents (35% among those who can afford durable goods), those who believe that things in the country are going in the right direction (35%), those who approve of V. Putin’s activity as president (32%), those who trust social media as a source of information (35%).

METHODOLOGY

The survey by the Levada Center was conducted December 12 – 18 2024, among a representative sample of all Russian urban and rural residents. The sample consisted of 1624 people aged 18 or older in 137 municipalities of 50 regions of the Russian Federation. The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The distribution of responses is given as a percentage of the total number. The data set is weighted by gender, age, level of education for each type of settlement (large cities, medium cities, small towns, villages) within each Federal district independently, in accordance with Rosstat data.

The statistical error of these studies for a sample of 1600 people (with a probability of 0.95) does not exceed:

3.4% for indicators around 50%

2.9% for indicators around 25%/75%

2.0% for indicators around 10%/90%

1.5% for indicators around 5%/95%

Learn more about the methodology 

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