Press-releases

Expectations of 2016

This survey took place between 18 and 21 December 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 137 localities of 48 of the country’s regions.  The survey was conducted as a personal interview in respondents’ homes. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.

HOW WILL THE COMING YEAR BE FOR YOU IN COMPARISON WITH 2015? (year in question indicated)

Definitely better

I really hope it will be better

I don’t think it will be worse

It’s doubtful that anything will change

The new year will arguably be worse than the last

It is difficult

to say

2016

5

41

22

19

8

5

2015

6

40

22

17

10

4

2014

5

48

22

16

3

6

2013

6

50

21

16

2

5

2012

6

50

21

17

3

4

2011

9

49

20

12

4

6

2010

9

48

19

13

4

7

2009

6

43

20

15

11

6

2008

11

45

17

18

6

3

2007

8

41

17

25

5

4

2006

6

46

18

19

7

4

2005

8

38

13

26

12

3

2004

7

47

21

19

3

3

2003

5

45

24

19

4

3

2002

7

42

22

20

5

4

2001

6

51

18

17

4

4

2000

6

46

17

18

6

7

1999

2

27

14

27

23

7

1998

4

31

20

25

9

11

1997

5

28

12

30

19

7

1996

4

33

19

25

12

7

1995

6

36

15

20

15

9

1994

6

42

11

23

11

7

1993

4

34

12

20

24

7

1992

2

23

7

18

44

7

1991

1

25

5

19

37

12

1990

4

40

12

21

13

9

COULD RUSSIA SEE IN THE COMING YEAR… (year in question indicated)

Definitely yes

Probably yes

Probably no

Definitely no

It is difficult

to say

an economic crisis (like that of 2008)?*

2016

11

36

27

6

20

2015

20

42

20

5

13

2014

6

32

40

5

17

2013

6

33

37

8

16

2012

2

37

34

7

19

2011

7

28

40

7

19

2007

3

18

44

12

22

2006

5

24

45

13

12

…large-scale technological disasters?

2016

6

31

33

10

20

2015

5

28

38

8

21

2014

6

38

33

5

19

2013

8

43

26

6

16

2012

5

46

26

6

18

2011

7

36

32

5

20

2007

7

34

28

8

24

large-scale epidemics?

2016

4

18

43

17

19

2015

4

19

46

15

15

2014

4

24

44

9

19

2013

4

27

37

12

20

2012

3

34

36

9

19

2011

6

28

39

8

20

2007

4

26

37

10

23

…corruption scandals and the resignation of ministers?

2016

10

43

21

9

16

2015

9

42

26

7

16

2014

17

48

17

3

16

2013

16

55

15

4

11

2012

10

50

21

4

14

2011

13

47

18

4

19

2007

14

46

16

5

19

resignation of the government?

2016

3

13

42

25

16

2015

3

13

44

23

17

coup d’etat?**

2016

2

8

36

40

15

2015

2

10

36

40

12

2014

2

10

51

26

12

2013

3

16

43

24

15

2012

3

17

45

20

15

2011

3

14

40

25

18

2007

1

11

39

31

19

2006

1

9

44

36

9

1999

11

35

26

16

12

mass discontent and protests?

2016

4

27

37

18

15

2015

4

28

38

16

14

2014

6

37

35

8

15

2013

5

45

31

8

12

2012

6

50

25

5

13

2011

6

40

28

8

18

2007

5

27

36

13

19

armed conflict with neighboring countries?

2016

4

25

34

16

21

2015

6

21

39

19

15

2014

2

18

44

15

20

2013

3

21

40

18

18

2012

1

22

42

17

19

2011

4

19

38

18

21

2007

2

23

38

16

22

2006

2

18

44

22

14

war with USA/NATO?

2016

2

11

40

27

21

2015

5

11

41

27

16

…exacerbation of the Northern Caucasus situation?

2016

5

23

37

12

24

2015

7

22

38

13

20

2014

6

36

30

5

23

2013

5

35

30

9

22

2012

3

30

34

8

25

2011

6

32

28

8

26

2007

4

29

36

6

24

2006

8

41

27

9

17

mass ethnic conflicts?

2016

4

26

38

17

15

2015

4

26

41

15

13

2014

6

42

30

6

15

* In 2005-2006 this question was given in the following formula: “COULD RUSSIA SEE IN THE COMING YEAR AN ECONOMIC CRISIS (LIKE THAT OF 1998)?”

** In 1998 this question was given in the following formula: “IN YOUR OPINION, HOW LIKELY IS A COUP D’ETAT IN RUSSIA IN THE NEXT 1-2 YEARS?”

Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly  Monterey Institute of International Studies).

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