This survey took place between 23 and 26 October 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS MOST ACCURATELY REFLECTS YOUR PLANS TO VOTE IN THE UPCOMING STATE DUMA ELECTIONS?*
|
|
Aug. 98 |
Aug. 99 |
Aug. 03 |
Aug. 07 |
Aug. 11 |
Jun. 15 |
Jun. 15 |
Oct. 15 |
|
I am sure that I will not vote in the State Duma elections |
19 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
10 |
11 |
14 |
10 |
|
I doubt that I will be voting |
11 |
9 |
10 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
14 |
|
I don’t know if I will vote or not |
15 |
16 |
18 |
16 |
21 |
23 |
21 |
25 |
|
I will probably vote in the State Duma elections |
23 |
15 |
28 |
33 |
30 |
32 |
31 |
30 |
|
I will definitely vote in these elections (if nothing happens to me before then, of course) |
27 |
39 |
26 |
20 |
22 |
18 |
19 |
19 |
|
It is difficult to say |
5 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
* This question was asked one year before elections only in August, 1998. Remaining surveys up to 2011 were conducted in the few months immediately preceding elections.
ARE YOU PREPARED TO SELL YOUR VOTE IN THE RUSSIAN STATE DUMA ELECTIONS, AND IF SO, FOR WHAT PRICE?
|
Nov.11 |
Oct.15 |
|
|
For 100 rubles |
1 |
1 |
|
For 200 rubles |
1 |
<1 |
|
For 500 rubles |
1 |
1 |
|
For 1,000 rubles |
2 |
1 |
|
For 2,000 rubles |
2 |
2 |
|
For 5,000 rubles |
8 |
11 |
|
For a more significant sum |
4 |
6 |
|
Not for any amount |
57 |
61 |
|
It is difficult to say |
26 |
18 |
IF STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU VOTE IN THEM, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE?
|
As a percent of surveyed |
As a percentage of respondents who are ready to vote and know whom they would vote for |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
40 |
63 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
11 |
17 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
6 |
9 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
3 |
4 |
|
Rodina (D.Rogozin) |
1 |
1 |
|
Civic Platform (R.Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A.Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
|
Patriots of Russia (G.Semigin) |
1 |
1 |
|
Alliance of Greens and People’s Party (O.Mitvol) |
<1 |
1 |
|
Republican Party of Russia – People’s Freedom Party (M.Kasyanov) |
<1 |
1 |
|
Russian United Democratic Party “Yabloko” (S.Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
1 |
1 |
|
I would not take part in these elections |
18 |
– |
|
It is difficult to say |
18 |
– |
IF STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU VOTE IN THEM, AND IF SO, WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? (one answer; closed question; as a percentage of surveyed)
|
2014 |
2015 |
|||||||||||
|
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
VIII |
IX |
X |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
44 |
42 |
42 |
44 |
46 |
48 |
46 |
49 |
47 |
41 |
43 |
40 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
8 |
9 |
10 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
6 |
9 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
Rodina (D.Rogozin) |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Civic Platform (R.Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A.Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Patriots of Russia (G.Semigin) |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Alliance of Greens and People’s Party (O.Mitvol) |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
|
Republican Party of Russia – People’s Freedom Party (M.Kasyanov) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Russian United Democratic Party “Yabloko” (S.Mitrokhin) |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
I would not take part in these elections |
19 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
14 |
18 |
|
It is difficult to say |
18 |
18 |
18 |
20 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
19 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
IF STATE DUMA ELECTIONS TOOK PLACE NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU VOTE IN THEM, AND IF SO, WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? (one answer; closed question; as a percentage of respondents who are ready to vote and have decided who they will vote for)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
||||||||||
|
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
VIII |
IX |
X |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
70 |
65 |
66 |
71 |
68 |
70 |
68 |
68 |
68 |
61 |
63 |
63 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
13 |
14 |
15 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
17 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
9 |
14 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
8 |
10 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov)Rodina (D.Rogozin) |
3 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
|
Rodina (D.Rogozin) |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Civic Platform (R.Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A.Navalny) |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Patriots of Russia (G.Semigin) |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Alliance of Greens and People’s Party (O.Mitvol) |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
<1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Republican Party of Russia – People’s Freedom Party (M.Kasyanov) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Russian United Democratic Party “Yabloko” (S.Mitrokhin) |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Other |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly Monterey Institute of International Studies).