This survey took place between 21 and 24 August 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS MOST ACCURATELY REFLECTS YOUR INTENTION TO VOTE IN THE UPCOMING RUSSIAN STATE DUMA ELECTIONS?*
|
|
Aug.98 |
Aug.99 |
Aug.03 |
Aug.07 |
Aug.11 |
June15 |
Aug.15 |
|
I am sure that I will not vote in the State Duma elections |
19 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
10 |
11 |
14 |
|
I doubt that I will vote |
11 |
9 |
10 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
|
I don’t know whether or not I will vote |
15 |
16 |
18 |
16 |
21 |
23 |
21 |
|
I will most likely vote in the State Duma elections |
23 |
15 |
28 |
33 |
30 |
32 |
31 |
|
I will definitely vote in these elections (unless, of course, nothing happens to me by then) |
27 |
39 |
26 |
20 |
22 |
18 |
19 |
|
It is difficult to say |
5 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
* In August 1998 only, the question was asked a year before the elections. The remaining measurements up to 2011 were carried out a couple of months before them.
THE UPCOMING SEPTEMBER REGIONAL DEMOCRATIC COALITION ELECTIONS (BASED ON THE PARTY PARNAS) IN THE NOVOSIBIRSK AND MURMANSK REGIONS WERE DENIED REGISTRATION DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE SIGNATURES COLLECTED IN SUPPORT OF THEM WERE DEEMED BY THE LOCAL ELECTION COMMISSIONS AS INVALID. WHAT, IN YOUR OPINION, WAS THE REAL BASIS FOR THE REGISTRATION REFUSAL?
|
|
Aug.15 |
|
The desire on the part of authorities not to allow real political opponents into the elections by any means |
31 |
|
Mistakes and violations actually committed by the Democratic Coalition during the collection of signatures |
33 |
|
It is difficult to say |
36 |
IF STATE DUMA ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THESE ELECTIONS, AND, IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; as % of all respondents)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
||||||||||
|
V |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
VIII |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
37 |
42 |
44 |
42 |
42 |
44 |
46 |
48 |
46 |
49 |
47 |
41 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
5 |
11 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
5 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
3 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
Civic Platform (R.Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Green Alliance – People’s Party (O.Mitvol) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A.Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Rodina (D.Rogozin) |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Republican Party of Russia – PARNAS (M.Kasyanov) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Patriots of Russia (G.Semigin) |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Would not take part in these elections |
18 |
16 |
19 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
17 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
|
It is difficult to say |
27 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
20 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
19 |
18 |
IF STATE DUMA ELECTIONS WERE HELD NEXT SUNDAY, WOULD YOU TAKE PART IN THESE ELECTIONS, AND, IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE? (closed question; as % of those who are prepared to vote in these elections and have determined for whom they will vote)
|
|
2014 |
2015 |
||||||||||
|
V |
IX |
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
VIII |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
67 |
64 |
70 |
65 |
66 |
71 |
68 |
70 |
68 |
68 |
68 |
61 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
10 |
17 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
17 |
15 |
|
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
10 |
11 |
9 |
14 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
6 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
Civic Platform (R.Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Green Alliance – People’s Party (O.Mitvol) |
4 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
<1 |
2 |
|
Progress Party (A.Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Rodina (D.Rogozin) |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
1 |
1 |
|
Republican Party of Russia – PARNAS (M.Kasyanov) |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Patriots of Russia (G.Semigin) |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
Other |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly Monterey Institute of International Studies).