The survey took place between 24 and 27 October 2014 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1630 people age 18 and over in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.
Possible results of presidential elections
|
Oct.14 |
As a % of those surveyed |
As a percentage of those who will vote for this candidate (how votes could be distributed) |
| Putin |
56 |
87 |
| Zhirinovsky |
4 |
6 |
| Zyuganov |
2 |
4 |
| Shoigu |
1 |
2 |
| Medvedev |
<1 |
1 |
| Mironov |
<1 |
<1 |
| Navalny |
<1 |
<1 |
| Others |
<1 |
<1 |
| I do not know for whom I would vote |
16 |
– |
| I am not certain whether I would vote |
10 |
– |
| I would not vote at all |
11 |
– |
Data over time
IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WERE TO BE HELD ON THE FOLLOWING SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE IN IT, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF TODAY’S POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (an open question, politicians’ surnames were not read out, and respondents answered spontaneously)
|
2014 |
|||||||||
|
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
|
| Putin |
29 |
32 |
46 |
49 |
50 |
52 |
57 |
49 |
56 |
| Zhirinovsky |
3 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| Zyuganov |
5 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
| Shoigu |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
| Medvedev |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
| Mironov |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
| Navalny |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
| Others |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
| I do not know for whom I would vote |
27 |
25 |
18 |
21 |
16 |
18 |
14 |
17 |
16 |
| I am not certain whether I would vote |
13 |
14 |
13 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
12 |
11 |
| I would not vote at all |
17 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
12 |
12 |
10 |
IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WERE TO BE HELD ON THE FOLLOWING SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE IN IT, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF TODAY’S POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (an open question, politics’ surnames were not read out, and respondents answered spontaneously; as a percentage of those who are planning on voting in the upcoming elections and know for whom they will vote)
|
2014 |
|||||||||
|
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
|
| Putin |
66 |
67 |
77 |
81 |
81 |
82 |
87 |
83 |
87 |
| Zhirinovsky |
7 |
9 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
| Zyuganov |
12 |
13 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
4 |
| Shoigu |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
| Medvedev |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| Mironov |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
| Navalny |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
| Others |
6 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WERE TO BE HELD ON THE FOLLOWING SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE IN IT, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF TODAY’S POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (a closed question, respondents chose politicians from a proposed list)
|
Aug.14 |
Sep.14 |
Oct.14 |
|
| Vladimir Putin |
58 |
56 |
63 |
| Gennady Zyuganov |
7 |
7 |
6 |
| Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
5 |
6 |
5 |
| Mikhail Prokhorov |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| Alexey Navalny |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Sergey Mironov |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| Someone else |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
| I do not know for whom I would vote |
8 |
12 |
10 |
| I would not vote at all |
10 |
7 |
8 |
| I am not certain whether I would vote |
8 |
7 |
4 |
IF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WERE TO BE HELD ON THE FOLLOWING SUNDAY, WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE IN IT, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH OF TODAY’S POLITICIANS WOULD YOU VOTE? (a closed question, respondents chose politicians from a proposed list; as a percentage of those who are planning on voting in the upcoming elections and know for whom they will vote)
|
Aug.14 |
Sep.14 |
Oct.14* |
|
| Vladimir Putin |
79 |
75 |
81 |
| Gennady Zyuganov |
10 |
9 |
8 |
| Vladimir Zhirinovsky |
7 |
8 |
6 |
| Mikhail Prokhorov |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| Sergey Mironov |
1 |
3 |
2 |
| Alexey Navalny |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Someone else |
1 |
2 |
1 |
* In cases where respondents were asked to choose one answer, the sum of the percentages may deviate from 100% by ± 2% as a result of rounding errors.
Possible results of elections in the State Duma
The distribution of votes depending on the presence or absence of the voting option “against all”
|
Oct.14 |
As a % of all respondents |
As a percentage of those who will vote for this candidate (how votes could be distributed) |
||
|
With the option “against all” |
Without the option “against all” |
With the option “against all” |
Without the option “against all” |
|
| United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
47 |
44 |
68 |
70 |
| Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
9 |
8 |
13 |
13 |
| Liberal-Democratic party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
7 |
6 |
10 |
9 |
| The Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Progress Party (A. Navalny) |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Others |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| Against all |
3 |
– |
4 |
– |
| I would not vote in these elections |
16 |
19 |
– |
– |
| It is difficult to say |
15 |
18 |
– |
– |
Data over time
IF THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS WERE TO BE HELD THIS COMING SUNDAY, WOULD YOU VOTE, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY? (as a percentage of all respondents)
|
2014 |
|||||||||
|
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
28 |
29 |
36 |
39 |
40 |
36 |
42 |
42 |
47 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
11 |
9 |
11 |
9 |
5 |
12 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
| Liberal-Democratic party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
5 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
|
The Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
| A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
| Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
| Progress Party (A. Navalny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
| Others |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
| Against all |
8 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
|
I would not vote in these elections |
23 |
22 |
14 |
16 |
15 |
17 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
| It is difficult to say |
19 |
22 |
23 |
19 |
26 |
22 |
18 |
18 |
15 |
IF THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS WERE TO BE HELD THIS COMING SUNDAY, WOULD YOU VOTE, AND IF SO, FOR WHICH PARTY? (as a percentage of those who are planning on voting in the upcoming elections and know for whom they will vote)
|
2014 |
|||||||||
|
Jan. |
Feb. |
Mar. |
Apr. |
May. |
Jul. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
48 |
51 |
56 |
60 |
66 |
59 |
64 |
63 |
68 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
19 |
16 |
17 |
13 |
9 |
19 |
12 |
15 |
13 |
| Liberal-Democratic party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
9 |
13 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
9 |
7 |
10 |
| A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
2 |
|
The Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
| Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
<1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
| Progress Party (A. Navalny) |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Others |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
| Against all |
14 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
6 |
4 |
Translated by the Graduate Initiative in Russian Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies.