This survey took place between 18 and 21 September 2015 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%. Research data demonstrating the opinion of residents of Ukraine belong to the Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS).
Russia and Ukraine: perception of one another
IN GENERAL, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD UKRAINE?
|
Sept. 12 |
Feb. 13 |
Sept. 13 |
Mar. 14 |
May. 14 |
Sept. 14 |
Nov. 14 |
Mar. 15 |
May. 15 |
Sept. 15 |
|
|
Very positive |
8 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
Mostly positive |
66 |
61 |
62 |
57 |
30 |
29 |
25 |
28 |
23 |
29 |
|
Mostly negative |
14 |
19 |
20 |
19 |
33 |
39 |
40 |
34 |
36 |
36 |
|
Very negative |
3 |
3 |
3 |
6 |
16 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
23 |
20 |
|
It is difficult to say |
10 |
9 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
11 |
IN GENERAL, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD RUSSIA? (residents of Ukraine – data from KIIS)
|
Sept. 12 |
Feb. 13 |
Sept. 13 |
Feb. 14 |
Apr. 14 |
Sept. 14 |
Dec. 14 |
Feb. 15 |
May. 15 |
Sept. 15 |
|
|
Very positive |
34 |
32 |
34 |
27 |
17 |
14 |
7 |
7 |
5 |
9 |
|
Mostly positive |
49 |
53 |
54 |
51 |
35 |
34 |
29 |
27 |
25 |
25 |
|
Mostly negative |
8 |
6 |
7 |
11 |
19 |
23 |
26 |
24 |
25 |
22 |
|
Very negative |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
19 |
19 |
22 |
27 |
32 |
31 |
|
It is difficult to say |
6 |
6 |
4 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
WITH WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING OPINIONS REGARDING RUSSIA’S RELATIONS WITH UKRAINE WOULD YOU MOST LIKELY AGREE?
|
|
There should be closed borders, visas, and customs |
There should be open borders, no visas or customs |
Russia and Ukraine should unite into a single state |
It is difficult to say |
|
Sept.15 |
25 |
59 |
8 |
7 |
|
May 15 |
30 |
54 |
10 |
6 |
|
Jan.15 |
33 |
52 |
8 |
8 |
|
Sept.14 |
26 |
62 |
7 |
5 |
|
May.14 |
28 |
54 |
12 |
6 |
|
Mar.14 |
16 |
50 |
28 |
7 |
|
Jan.14 |
19 |
59 |
16 |
6 |
|
Oct.13 |
23 |
55 |
16 |
6 |
|
May.13 |
19 |
58 |
15 |
8 |
|
Jan.13 |
13 |
64 |
18 |
6 |
|
Sept.12 |
14 |
60 |
20 |
6 |
|
May.12 |
17 |
62 |
14 |
7 |
|
Jan.12 |
16 |
61 |
16 |
8 |
|
Sept.11 |
16 |
63 |
14 |
6 |
|
May.11 |
16 |
64 |
15 |
5 |
|
Jan.11 |
20 |
61 |
13 |
6 |
|
Sept.10 |
16 |
60 |
18 |
6 |
|
May.10 |
17 |
64 |
13 |
6 |
|
Jan.10 |
25 |
55 |
14 |
6 |
|
Sept.09 |
25 |
55 |
13 |
7 |
|
May.09 |
25 |
55 |
14 |
6 |
|
Jan.09 |
29 |
51 |
12 |
8 |
|
Sept.08 |
24 |
52 |
13 |
11 |
|
Mar.08 |
19 |
56 |
19 |
6 |
WHAT KIND OF RELATIONS WOULD YOU LIKE TO SEE BETWEEN UKRAINE AND RUSSIA? (residents of Ukraine – data from KIIS)
|
|
There should be closed borders, visas, and customs |
There should be open borders, no visas or customs |
Ukraine and Russia should unite into a single state |
It is difficult to say |
|
Sept.15 |
46 |
45 |
2 |
7 |
|
May.15 |
45 |
46 |
2 |
7 |
|
Feb.15 |
48 |
43 |
4 |
6 |
|
Dec.14 |
50 |
42 |
3 |
5 |
|
Sept.14 |
45 |
44 |
5 |
6 |
|
Apr.14 |
32 |
54 |
8 |
5 |
|
Feb.14 |
15 |
68 |
12 |
5 |
|
Nov.13 |
12 |
73 |
9 |
6 |
|
May.13 |
11 |
69 |
14 |
5 |
|
Feb.13 |
13 |
68 |
16 |
3 |
|
Sept.12 |
11 |
72 |
14 |
3 |
|
Feb.12 |
13 |
69 |
16 |
2 |
|
Nov.11 |
13 |
67 |
16 |
2 |
|
Oct.10 |
10 |
67 |
20 |
2 |
|
Jun.10 |
12 |
70 |
16 |
2 |
|
Mar.10 |
11 |
67 |
19 |
3 |
|
Jan.10 |
8 |
66 |
22 |
4 |
|
Oct.09 |
11 |
67 |
19 |
3 |
|
May.09 |
10 |
65 |
23 |
2 |
|
Feb.09 |
8 |
68 |
23 |
1 |
|
Sept.08 |
17 |
66 |
16 |
2 |
|
Apr.08 |
10 |
67 |
20 |
3 |
IN GENERAL, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD UKRAINE’S CURRENT LEADERSHIP?
|
May.14 |
Sept.14 |
Feb.15 |
May 15 |
Sept.15 |
|
|
Very positive |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Mostly positive |
9 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
Mostly negative |
29 |
39 |
33 |
27 |
32 |
|
Very negative |
50 |
47 |
56 |
59 |
55 |
|
It is difficult to answer |
10 |
6 |
6 |
8 |
7 |
IN GENERAL, WHAT IS YOUR ATTITUDE TOWARD UKRAINIANS (RESIDENTS OF UKRAINE)?
|
|
Oct.06 |
May.09 |
May.14 |
Sept.14 |
Feb.15 |
May 15 |
Sept.15 |
|
Very positive |
10 |
7 |
22 |
9 |
13 |
14 |
11 |
|
Mostly positive |
71 |
68 |
59 |
52 |
50 |
50 |
52 |
|
Mostly negative |
11 |
15 |
10 |
21 |
19 |
18 |
18 |
|
Very negative |
2 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
|
It is difficult to say |
6 |
7 |
7 |
14 |
12 |
11 |
12 |
WHAT DO YOU THINK, ARE RUSSIANS AND UKRAINIANS ONE PEOPLE OR TWO DIFFERENT PEOPLES?* (N=800)
|
|
Nov. 04 |
Nov. 05 |
Dec. 06 |
Jan. 07* |
Nov. 07 |
Dec. 13 |
Mar. 14 |
Mar. 15 |
Sept. 15 |
|
One people |
79 |
81 |
53 |
76 |
49 |
43 |
56 |
52 |
46 |
|
Two different peoples |
18 |
17 |
41 |
21 |
46 |
50 |
38 |
40 |
47 |
|
It is difficult to say |
3 |
2 |
6 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
* IN 2004-2005 and in January 2007, the wording of the question was: ARE RUSSIANS, UKRAINIANS, AND BELARUSIANS DIFFERENT PEOPLES OR THREE BRANCHES OF A SINGLE PEOPLE?
Russians’ attention to events in Ukraine and support of the annexation of Crimea
DO YOU FOLLOW CURRENT EVENTS IN UKRAINE?
|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
|||||||||||||||||
|
XII |
I |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VI |
VII |
VIII |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
13-16 III |
13-16 III |
IV |
V |
VII |
VIII |
IX |
|
|
Very closely |
4 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
12 |
12 |
20 |
16 |
15 |
15 |
13 |
16 |
15 |
13 |
17 |
14 |
13 |
15 |
13 |
12 |
|
Some-what closely |
21 |
35 |
44 |
46 |
48 |
46 |
45 |
48 |
49 |
37 |
35 |
43 |
43 |
35 |
40 |
33 |
37 |
36 |
32 |
31 |
|
Don’t pay much atten-tion |
40 |
40 |
31 |
29 |
30 |
34 |
29 |
29 |
30 |
36 |
41 |
35 |
33 |
40 |
34 |
38 |
37 |
w |
41 |
43 |
|
Don’t follow at all |
17 |
10 |
9 |
4 |
10 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
11 |
9 |
5 |
9 |
11 |
8 |
14 |
11 |
11 |
14 |
12 |
|
Haven’t heard any-thing |
18 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
DO YOU SUPPORT THE ANNEXATION OF CRIMEA BY RUSSIA?*
|
2014* |
2015 |
||||||||||||
|
III |
V |
X |
XI |
XII |
I |
II |
III |
IV |
V |
VII |
VIII |
IX |
|
|
Definitely yes |
57 |
54 |
55 |
53 |
50 |
50 |
52 |
55 |
55 |
56 |
51 |
50 |
54 |
|
Probably yes |
31 |
36 |
31 |
31 |
36 |
34 |
32 |
33 |
34 |
29 |
33 |
33 |
30 |
|
Probably no |
6 |
4 |
7 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
|
Definitely no |
1 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
It is difficult to say |
4 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
* – In March and May, the wording of the question was: “Are you personally for or against the annexation of Crimea by Russia?”
HOW DO YOU THINK RELATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE WEST WILL DEVELOP AFTER THE CONFLICT SURROUNDING UKRAINE AND CRIMEA? (N=800)
|
Jun.14 |
Sept.14 |
Feb.15 |
Sept.15 |
|
|
We can expect a rise in tensions and a new phase of the “cold war” |
37 |
40 |
42 |
33 |
|
Everything will gradually cool down and relations will return to the way they were before |
43 |
45 |
45 |
52 |
|
It is difficult to say |
20 |
15 |
13 |
15 |
Russia’s policies regarding other CIS nations
WHAT KIND OF POLICY SHOULD RUSSIA PURSUE IN REGARDS TO COUNTRIES OF THE CIS? (multiple answers; N=800)
|
Jul.05 |
Jul.06 |
Jul.07 |
Jul.10 |
Jul.11 |
Sept.14 |
Sept.15 |
|
|
Respect the economic and political interests of neighboring countries without interfering in their domestic affairs |
55 |
57 |
60 |
54 |
57 |
55 |
51 |
|
See to it that foreign nations (USA, China, Turkey, etc) don’t exert a dangerous pressure on these countries |
30 |
38 |
32 |
31 |
26 |
28 |
23 |
|
Support democracy and progressive changes in these countries |
23 |
20 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
|
Attempt to keep in power leaders who express loyalty to Russia |
14 |
13 |
9 |
15 |
15 |
13 |
15 |
|
It is difficult to say |
11 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
12 |
DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE OPINION THAT RUSSIA SHOULD MAINTAIN CONTROL OVER FORMER USSR REPUBLICS BY ANY MEANS, EVEN, IF NECESSARY, BY FORCE? (N=800)
|
Sept.09 |
Sept.11 |
Sept.14 |
Mar.15 |
Sept.15 |
|
|
Definitely agree |
8 |
7 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
|
Mostly agree |
26 |
20 |
19 |
18 |
28 |
|
Mostly disagree |
34 |
41 |
39 |
39 |
34 |
|
Definitely disagree |
22 |
24 |
27 |
25 |
15 |
|
It is difficult to say |
11 |
9 |
12 |
13 |
16 |
Translated by Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (formerly Monterey Institute of International Studies).