The survey took place between 22 and 25 August 2014 and was conducted throughout all of Russia in both urban and rural settings. The survey was carried out among 1600 people over the age of 18 in 134 localities of 46 of the country’s regions. The answer distribution is presented as percentages of the number of participants along with data from previous surveys. The statistical error of these studies does not exceed 3.4%.
Possible outcome of the presidential elections
|
Aug.14 |
As a percentage of all participants |
As a percentage of those who will vote for this candidate (how votes could be distributed) |
|
Putin |
57 |
87 |
|
Zyuganov |
3 |
4 |
|
Zhirinovsky |
2 |
4 |
|
Medvedev |
1 |
1 |
|
Mironov |
1 |
1 |
|
Navalny |
1 |
1 |
|
Shoigu |
<1 |
<1 |
|
others |
1 |
2 |
|
I do not know for whom I would vote |
14 |
– |
|
I would not vote at all |
12 |
– |
|
I am not certain whether I would vote |
9 |
– |
Data over time
If the Russian presidential elections happened this coming Sunday, would you VOTE and, if SO, for which of today’s politicians would you vote? (an open question, politicians’ surnames were not read out, and respondents answered spontaneously)
|
|
Jan.14 |
Feb.14 |
Mar.14 |
Apr.14 |
May14 |
Jul.14 |
Aug.14 |
|
Putin |
29 |
32 |
46 |
49 |
50 |
52 |
57 |
|
Zyuganov |
5 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|
Zhirinovsky |
3 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
Medvedev |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Mironov |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Navalny |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
others |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Shoigu |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
|
I do not know for whom I would vote |
27 |
25 |
18 |
21 |
16 |
18 |
14 |
|
I don’t know if I would vote at all |
13 |
14 |
13 |
8 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
|
I would not vote at all |
17 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
11 |
9 |
12 |
If the Russian presidential elections happened this coming Sunday, would you VOTE. and if so, for which of today’s politicians would you vote? (an open question, politics’ surnames were not read out, and respondents answered spontaneously; as a percentage of those who are planning on voting in the upcoming elections and know for whom they will vote)
|
|
Jan.14 |
Feb.14 |
Mar.14 |
Apr.14 |
May.14 |
Jul.14 |
Aug.14 |
|
Putin |
66 |
67 |
77 |
81 |
81 |
82 |
87 |
|
Zyuganov |
12 |
13 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
|
Zhirinovsky |
7 |
9 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
|
Mironov |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Medvedev |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
Navalny |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Shoigu |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
<1 |
|
others |
6 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
Possible results of State Duma elections
The distribution of votes depending on the presence or absence of the voting option “against all”
|
Aug.14 |
As a percentage of all respondents |
As a percentage of those who made up their minds (how votes could be distributed) |
||
|
With the option “against all” |
Without the option “against all” |
With the option “against all” |
Without the option “against all” |
|
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
42 |
43 |
64 |
67 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
8 |
11 |
12 |
17 |
|
Liberal-Democratic party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
6 |
6 |
9 |
9 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
3 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
|
The Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A. Naval’ny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
others |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
against all |
5 |
– |
8 |
– |
|
I would not vote in these elections |
16 |
15 |
– |
– |
|
It is difficult to say |
18 |
20 |
– |
– |
Data over time
If the state duma elections happened this coming Sunday, would you vote, and if so, for which party? (as a percentage of all respondents)
|
|
Jan.14 |
Feb.14 |
Mar.14 |
Apr.14 |
May.13 |
Jul.14 |
Aug.14 |
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
28 |
29 |
36 |
39 |
40 |
36 |
42 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
11 |
9 |
11 |
9 |
5 |
12 |
8 |
|
Liberal-Democratic party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
5 |
7 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
The Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Progress Party (A. Naval’ny) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
<1 |
1 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
others |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
1 |
|
against all |
8 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
|
I would not vote in these elections |
23 |
22 |
14 |
16 |
15 |
17 |
16 |
|
It is difficult to say |
19 |
22 |
23 |
19 |
26 |
22 |
18 |
If the Duma elections happened this coming Sunday, would you vote, and if so, for which party? (as a percentage of those who are planning on voting in the upcoming elections and know for whom they will vote)
|
|
Jan.14 |
Feb.14 |
Mar.14 |
Apr.14 |
May.13 |
Jul.14 |
Aug.14 |
|
United Russia (D.Medvedev) |
48 |
51 |
56 |
60 |
66 |
59 |
64 |
|
Communist Party (CPRF) (G.Zyuganov) |
19 |
16 |
17 |
13 |
9 |
19 |
12 |
|
Liberal-Democratic party of Russia (LDPR) (V.Zhirinovsky) |
9 |
13 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
7 |
9 |
|
A Just Russia (S.Mironov) |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
|
The Civic Platform (R. Shaykhutdinov) |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
<1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Progress Party (A. Naval’ny) |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
<1 |
1 |
|
Yabloko (S.Mitrokhin) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
<1 |
2 |
<1 |
<1 |
|
others |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
against all |
14 |
7 |
6 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
Translated by the Graduate Initiative in Russian Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies.